Signal or Noise
Merida at $1,675: What Does the Sales Record Show?
Two transactions appear in the recent October records for this Wilds Unknown Iconic. At a reference near $1,675, what can that evidence actually support?

Disney Lorcana
Merida — Formidable Archer
Wilds Unknown · Iconic · 242/204 · Holofoil · English · Near Mint
A reference near $1,675 is a substantial number to bring to a Merida purchase. For this Wilds Unknown Iconic, our October 23 capture contains just two transactions across the October-dated records. It gives a price history, but no individual sale receipts showing what those buyers paid. Interest in the card and confidence in that particular number are separate questions.
The number moved. What changed behind it?
The recent October records contain two transactions: one in the record dated October 5 and one in the record dated October 12. Their reference prices were $1,687.20 and $1,639.20. The October 19 reference rose to $1,675.36, with no additional transaction recorded at our October 23 capture.
That is the recent activity this source shows, rather than a complete account of every sale. The dates identify source observations, not individual sale dates, and the aggregate references do not disclose what either buyer paid. A zero in this source does not establish that no copies sold elsewhere.
The dated comparison
October references and recorded transactions
Two transactions appear across the October records captured October 23. Prices shown are dated references, not what an individual buyer paid. Observation dates are not sale dates.
A higher reference is not a sale receipt
The useful question is whether an asking price for your exact copy is supported by newer comparable completed sales. This capture cannot answer that question by itself. It has no individual receipts showing that a matching copy sold at $1,675.
Two recorded transactions do not establish a change in demand, and the upward reference does not establish that buyers paid more. Keep the evidence question specific: which recent completed sales actually match the copy being compared?
Evidence thin at $1,675; not a noise verdict on Merida
Our verdict is EVIDENCE THIN for the latest $1,675 reference. It is a limit on what this record supports, rather than a judgment that the card itself is noise or that its next price will fall.
A buyer can keep investigating the exact printing while withholding confidence in this particular number. That separates interest in the collectible from evidence for an offer.
Where $1,675 sits in the retained history
The 25 dated observations put the latest reference below the retained August high and above the May low. These are historical comparison points, not a fair value or a price floor.
- May 25: $783.55, the lowest retained reference; 18 recorded transactions.
- August 3: $1,847.26, the highest retained reference; one recorded transaction.
- October 19: $1,675.36; no additional transaction recorded at our October 23 capture.
- A repeated reference is not repeated sales: several earlier weeks also repeated the previous reference while recording zero transactions. The longer history below identifies those dates.
Make the copy comparison match
Before comparing an offer: Match Merida — Formidable Archer, Wilds Unknown, Iconic, English Near Mint Holofoil. Check recent completed sales separately, including shipping and visible condition, before putting a current listing beside this dated history.
The marketplace link opens current listings for this printing. Asking prices are not completed sales; apply sold/completed filters separately. A different Merida printing, treatment or condition answers a different question.
See the longer price history
The longer history changes the comparison
The retained history contains 25 dated observations from May 4 through October 19, 2026, beginning at $978.00. These are the bounds of this record; tracking dates do not establish the card's release date.
Several later observations repeat an earlier reference while recording zero transactions, including July 13, July 27 and August 10. September 28 likewise repeats $1,745.97 with zero recorded transactions. A flat segment of this reference history is therefore not a sequence of new sales at one price.
The latest $1,675 question is narrower than the overall price path. May and August provide dated context; neither supplies a fair value, a floor, a reason for the move or proof of today's executable price.
Sources & Data
- Evidence & Method
- TCGplayer dated market readings in USD, captured October 23, 2026 in Toronto. These are aggregate source records, not individual sale dates or receipts. No later data is incorporated.
- Exact Printing & Sample
- Wilds Unknown Merida — Formidable Archer (Iconic), English Near Mint Holofoil. 25 dated observations from May 4 through October 19, 2026. Two transactions appear across the recent October records; individual sale dates and prices are unavailable.
- Limits
- Aggregate references and transaction counts do not reveal individual sale prices, condition of each sold copy, demand, liquidity or cause. Zero recorded in this source is not no sales everywhere. Current listings and completed sales require separate comparison.
Marketplace links may earn TrendApe an affiliate commission. The evidence and editorial conclusions are independent of individual listings.